A strong ally for Emmanuel Macron and the implementation of his program. According to an OpinionWay-Kéa Partners poll for Les Échos and Radio Classique published on Tuesday May 10, the Head of State should retain a large majority in the National Assembly for the five years of his second term. According to the results, Renaissance (La République en Marche and its political allies MoDem and Horizons) would obtain between 310 and 350 seats at the end of the June 12 and 19 elections.
After having counted 314 deputies at the start of the previous legislature, the LREM group currently has 267. Another lesson from this survey, the left parties, which have joined forces behind Jean-Luc Mélenchon, would become the main opposition force. The New Popular Ecological and Social Union (Nupes), which brings together candidates from La France insoumise, Europe Écologie-Les Verts, the French Communist Party and the Socialist Party, would collect between 135 and 165 seats, against around sixty today .
After the accession to the second round of the presidential election of Marine Le Pen, the National Rally could rally to its cause between 20 and 40 seats in the Assembly, thus allowing it to form a parliamentary group. Finally, despite the historically low score of Valérie Pécresse in the presidential election, Les Républicains would manage to “save” between 50 and 70 deputies in the next legislature. The main right-wing party had 101 during the previous one.