According to the assessment of the leadership in Moscow, Finland’s accession to NATO would “clearly” pose a threat to Russia. As Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov explained on Thursday, an expansion of the military alliance and a NATO rapprochement with Russia’s borders “would not make the world and our continent more stable and more secure”.

The Kremlin spokesman answered the question of whether Russia would see Finland’s NATO membership as a threat with “definitely”. Finnish President Sauli Niinistö and Prime Minister Sanna Marin spoke out in favor of their country’s “immediate” accession to NATO on Thursday.

In a joint statement, the two endorsed membership in the western military alliance. This would strengthen Finland’s security and at the same time strengthen the entire alliance, said the Nordic country’s two most important politicians.

The EU’s northernmost country is expected to decide on a formal application for membership in the coming days, probably on Sunday. This step would be a direct consequence of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the resulting changed security situation in Europe. For Finland, which has been non-aligned for a long time and shares a border with Russia that is more than 1,300 kilometers long, such a decision would be historic.

Before the country can join NATO, all 30 current members must agree. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg had recently signaled several times that there was broad support for this within the alliance.

Niinistö and Marin’s government ultimately decide together on the NATO issue, but they involved parliament in the decision-making process. On the way to a decision, the government had already submitted a security analysis to the Riksdag in Helsinki in April, in which the advantages and risks of possible NATO membership were highlighted. However, the analysis did not include a position for or against such a membership.

The Baltic states of Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia welcome the fact that Finland’s political leadership is in favor of joining NATO soon. “Finland’s accession would significantly strengthen both the alliance and the security of the Baltic States,” Lithuanian Prime Minister Ingrida Simonyte wrote on Twitter on Thursday. “I am happy about this great historic day!”

“History is made by our northern neighbors,” tweeted Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas. Finland can count on Estonia’s “full support”. “We support the rapid accession process. The necessary steps will be taken quickly from our side.”

The Latvian President Egils Levits also supported the possible accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO. “We are positive about it,” Levits said on Thursday during a visit to Kiel. Such a move would strengthen NATO’s northern and eastern flanks. “And that’s why accession is very important and we welcome that.”

Poland’s Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki also rated Finland’s plans as “good news for the security of Poland and Europe”. “Poland is in favor of Finland joining the alliance as soon as possible,” Morawiecki said on Twitter on Thursday.

Finland and neighboring Sweden are already close partners of NATO, but have not yet become official members. However, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has sparked an intense NATO debate in both countries. In the population there was a clear change of opinion towards a possible accession to the alliance. In a recent poll by the Finnish broadcaster Yle, 76 percent of respondents were in favor of Finland joining NATO.

During a visit by Marin and the Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson to the closed meeting of the federal cabinet in Meseberg near Berlin, Chancellor Olaf Scholz recently promised German support for the countries joining NATO.


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